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22 February 2025

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Robert Farley (Lawyers, Guns and Money, University of Kentucky) and Daveed Gartenstein-Ross (Foundation for Defense of Democracies, daveedgr.com)

On Foreign Entanglements, Rob and Daveed discuss one of the enduring concepts of international politics: credibility. Rob lays out the basics of deterrence theory, prompting Daveed to explain why he thinks reputation is important. Daveed contends that Obama’s unenforced Syrian “red line” will have a tremendous effect on America’s credibility and reputation. They examine whether a reputation for resolve matters with reference to Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait, and consider the academic-policymaker divide, especially with respect to how we can measure the effectiveness of reputation-building measures. Plus: Debating the value of bluffing as part of the foreign policy toolkit.

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Recorded:Jul 15    Posted:Jul 18, 2014
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Foreign Entanglements | Jul 18, 2014 | Robert Farley & Daveed Gartenstein-Ross

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Trump: Peacemaker or Chaos Agent?

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Connor Echols and Robert Wright discuss the president’s big, complicated week on Ukraine—and what it could signal for the future of US foreign policy. Plus: The latest on Musk’s whirlwind makeover of Washington.

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Interpreting AI’s Acceleration

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Robert Wright and Nora Belrose of EleutherAI discuss the pace of AI development and its impacts. Plus: how chain-of-thought works, AI “thinking” vs human thinking, how near we are to singularity, and more.

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The Perils of a New Cold War

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Connor Echols and Van Jackson, co-author of The Rivalry Peril, discuss the US-China “cold war”—its origins, its consequences, how it echoes the mistakes of the first Cold War, and more.

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Canada vs Trump, OpenAI vs Google (and Musk)

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Robert Wright and psychologist Paul Bloom discuss Trump’s unifying effect on Canada, a (game) theory of Musk, the Super Bowl’s AI ad champion, and more.

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Why Wokeness Failed

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Robert Wright and Musa al-Gharbi, author of the book We Have Never Been Woke, discuss the rise of wokeness, its role in Trump’s victories, alternative messaging the left should pursue, and more.

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Trump’s Shock-and-Awe: Madness or Method?

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Connor Echols and Robert Wright discuss the USAID cuts, Trump’s plans for Gaza, OpenAI’s new Deep Research function, the impact of Trump’s tariffs on US power, and more.

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The Truth About DeepSeek

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Paul Triolo of the Albright Stonebridge Group and the AIStackDecrypted newsletter tells Robert Wright what the West has gotten wrong about China’s advanced AI model.

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Trump vs International Law

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Mark Leon Goldberg of the Global Dispatches newsletter and Robert Wright discuss how global governance could look under Trump 2.0. Plus: highs and lows of the post-Cold War UN; ICC and ICJ 101; why the WHO matters; and more.

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The China AI Panic

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Robert Wright and Connor Echols discuss recent news involving the Trump White House, AI, and China. Plus: Connor talks to national security law expert Elizabeth Beavers about Trump’s use of terror designations.

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DeepSeek-R1: Salvo or olive branch?

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Robert Wright and psychologist Paul Bloom discuss the geopolitical implications of China’s new advanced LLM.