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Global Trade and Preposterous Pants
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Recorded: September 14 Posted: September 16
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Freddie wrote on 09/16/2009  at  11:03 AM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
When Reihan and Drezner talk about globalization being somehow imperiled, I shook my head. There is no issue-- none-- that is enforced in the blogosphere with more intellectual violence and ruthless quashing of dissent than the notion that globalization must be supported by all people at all times. You can disagree about almost anything, but you better not disagree about globalization. That is a one-way ticket to irrelevance and being banished from the ranks of Very Serious People.
Never mind that lower class and lower middle class Americans have every reason to be angry about the losses in employment levels from globalization; about utterly flatlined real wages; about the loss of the ability to collectively bargained for improved standard of living, thanks to the lack of any apparatus to privilege American workers above those who will work in squalid, unsafe conditions for next to nothing; about the flat lie that economic growth would float all boats and improve their lives dramatically; about the utter cratering of the American manufacturing industry. It doesn't matter-- people at all skeptical of globalization are not to be taken seriously.
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claymisher wrote on 09/16/2009  at  11:51 AM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting Freddie: When Reihan and Drezner talk about globalization being somehow imperiled, I shook my head. There is no issue-- none-- that is enforced in the blogosphere with more intellectual violence and ruthless quashing of dissent than the notion that globalization must be supported by all people at all times. You can disagree about almost anything, but you better not disagree about globalization. That is a one-way ticket to irrelevance and being banished from the ranks of Very Serious People.
Never mind that lower class and lower middle class Americans have every reason to be angry about the losses in employment levels from globalization; about utterly flatlined real wages; about the loss of the ability to collectively bargained for improved standard of living, thanks to the lack of any apparatus to privilege American workers above those who will work in squalid, unsafe conditions for next to nothing; about the flat lie that economic growth would float all boats and improve their lives dramatically; about the utter cratering of the American manufacturing industry. It doesn't matter-- people at all skeptical of globalization are not to be taken seriously.
I blame the "econ
read more . . .
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qingl78 wrote on 09/16/2009  at  01:29 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Do I misunderstand or are a couple of conservatives/glibertarians seeing benefit of government intervention in the economy in the current recession? Have I got it right that there are a couple of conservatives who want a robust social safety net (at least in China)?
Maybe these guys aren't conservative/glibertarians?
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bkjazfan wrote on 09/16/2009  at  03:30 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Professors Bennett and Bluestone rang the bell on this with their "Deindustrialization Of America" over 30 years ago. What they warned about has happened: a loss of middle income manufacturing jobs replaced by lower income or no employment.
There have been both Democrat and Republican adminitrations in that time and what has been done? In my opinion, other than some phony happy talk, nothing.
I am still waiting for what futurists like John Naisbett forecasted was millions of well paying jobs working for progressive companies in information technology sector. That never materialized and many of those jobs went offshore, too.
It looks like we are moving toward a 2 tiered rich/poor society with very little in between. However, what me worry, there is always "American Idol." Things can't be that bad.
John
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Namazu wrote on 09/16/2009  at  07:43 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Poor rural Chinese typically save 40% of their income because they're at the mercy of the harvest and their health, and don't have access to food stamps, housing assistance, the kindness of wealthy neighbors, or insurance of any kind. This is obviously a problem for them and for capital formation in the Chinese economy. This is not our problem.
I'm not sure you understand either term, but who's the libertarian here? Don't tell me Drezner.
Quoting qingl78: Do I misunderstand or are a couple of conservatives/glibertarians seeing benefit of government intervention in the economy in the current recession? Have I got it right that there are a couple of conservatives who want a robust social safety net (at least in China)?
Maybe these guys aren't conservative/glibertarians?
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TwinSwords wrote on 09/16/2009  at  08:40 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting Freddie: When Reihan and Drezner talk about globalization being somehow imperiled, I shook my head. There is no issue-- none-- that is enforced in the blogosphere with more intellectual violence and ruthless quashing of dissent than the notion that globalization must be supported by all people at all times. You can disagree about almost anything, but you better not disagree about globalization. That is a one-way ticket to irrelevance and being banished from the ranks of Very Serious People.
Never mind that lower class and lower middle class Americans have every reason to be angry about the losses in employment levels from globalization; about utterly flatlined real wages; about the loss of the ability to collectively bargained for improved standard of living, thanks to the lack of any apparatus to privilege American workers above those who will work in squalid, unsafe conditions for next to nothing; about the flat lie that economic growth would float all boats and improve their lives dramatically; about the utter cratering of the American manufacturing industry. It doesn't matter-- people at all skeptical of globalization are not to be taken seriously.
Great post. Thank you.
Globalization
read more . . .
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TwinSwords wrote on 09/16/2009  at  08:46 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting claymisher: I blame the "econ 101" two-step. You show people the supply and demand graph, you give people the little parable about comparative advantage and gains from trade, and mention some hand-wavy stuff about the winners winning more than the losers losing, and everybody goes home happy. Step two is, government is bad, redistribution is bad, so never compensate the losers.
(As for me, I'm for the open economy with robust social insurance, like Denmark and the Netherlands.)
This is exactly right. There are a few ultra-basic economic ideas which are embraced almost like a religion by Republcans and neoliberals, and the funny thing is that they sincerely believe the rest of us don't or can't grasp them.
Megan McArdle's entire professional career is built on notions so simplistic that they can be fully grasped by elementary school dropouts.
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TwinSwords wrote on 09/16/2009  at  09:03 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting bkjazfan: millions of well paying jobs working for progressive companies in information technology sector. That never materialized and many of those jobs went offshore, too.
Yep. At my company, the IT department had 1200 US employees in 1998. Today there are fewer than 300. All those jobs moved to China and India. And the process continues: a team of IT people I work with almost every day will be losing their jobs to India sometime in the next few weeks. 18 more American families thrown to the wolves.
You can hire 20-30 Chinese or Indian IT professionals for the cost of a single American. Despite all the disadvantages of outsourcing IT work to people who are 8-12 time zones away, it's hard to argue with the economics. I'm not an economist, but it seems to me that the world's economic leader (the US) could have chosen to exert some pressure to protect US workers. Instead of lowering American standards of living to that of the 3rd world, we should be trying to bring the 3rd world up to our standards.

Quoting bkjazfan: However, what me worry, there is always "American Idol." Things can't be that bad.
LOL, so true. See Roger Waters' Amused to Death.
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bkjazfan wrote on 09/16/2009  at  09:47 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting TwinSwords: Yep. At my company, the IT department had 1200 US employees in 1998. Today there are fewer than 300. All those jobs moved to China and India. And the process continues: a team of IT people I work with almost every day will be losing their jobs to India sometime in the next few weeks. 18 more American families thrown to the wolves.
You can hire 20-30 Chinese or Indian IT professionals for the cost of a single American. Despite all the disadvantages of outsourcing IT work to people who are 8-12 time zones away, it's hard to argue with the economics. I'm not an economist, but it seems to me that the world's economic leader (the US) could have chosen to exert some pressure to protect US workers. Instead of lowering American standards of living to that of the 3rd world, we should be trying to bring the 3rd world up to our standards.
LOL, so true. See Roger Waters' Amused to Death.
Thanks for the reference.
John
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rcocean wrote on 09/16/2009  at  10:24 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting Freddie: When Reihan and Drezner talk about globalization being somehow imperiled, I shook my head. There is no issue-- none-- that is enforced in the blogosphere with more intellectual violence and ruthless quashing of dissent than the notion that globalization must be supported by all people at all times. You can disagree about almost anything, but you better not disagree about globalization. That is a one-way ticket to irrelevance and being banished from the ranks of Very Serious People.
Never mind that lower class and lower middle class Americans have every reason to be angry about the losses in employment levels from globalization; about utterly flatlined real wages; about the loss of the ability to collectively bargained for improved standard of living, thanks to the lack of any apparatus to privilege American workers above those who will work in squalid, unsafe conditions for next to nothing; about the flat lie that economic growth would float all boats and improve their lives dramatically; about the utter cratering of the American manufacturing industry. It doesn't matter-- people at all skeptical of globalization are not to be taken seriously.
The reason Drezner
read more . . .
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TwinSwords wrote on 09/17/2009  at  12:02 AM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Quoting TwinSwords: Unfortunately, there seems to be no immediate reason to hope for a change in our present course, as both parties are in thrall to the wealthy. If anyone doubts this, see Max Baucus's gift to insurance industry and boot to the face of the American people. One almost wonders how many millions Baucus is being paid in bribes – unless he really is just naturally that malevolent.
Washington Post: Baucus Bill Appears to be Moving Forward
Apparently my mistake was that I didn't understand the real purpose of health care reform:
As they scoured the 223-page document, many of the most influential players found elements to dislike, but not necessarily reasons to kill the effort. Most enticing was the prospect of 30 million new customers.
This bill must die.
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qingl78 wrote on 09/17/2009  at  10:32 AM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Yea, I'm well aware of the personal savings rate in china and yes they do need a social safety net and they should also spend more but still I was surprised by the sentiments expressed since if it is true in China they why wouldn't it be true here (except for cultural reasons, and I'm not sure that China and the US are that different culturally).
Yes, I meant Drezner, but I could be wrong. It is just a vague recollection, but I just seem to remember him at one point being of the "get government out of my life, except if it is a republican" and "more wars because I'm scared" variety libertarian (which I thinks falls under the glibertarian rubric). I apologize if that isn't his position, I don't know him or follow what he says closely so I had to make a guess. I just don't remember him being a lefty, in fact the opposite.
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JonIrenicus wrote on 09/19/2009  at  02:47 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
The holy grail question was asked by Reihan here and I wish it had a clear cut answer.
Is there a way to have a high savings rate AND low unemployment !!!
Unless someone brings up a problem with those two things as part of a dream scenario, it seems to me that should be the goal of all.
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TomBillings wrote on 09/21/2009  at  02:10 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
I find it interesting that so many replying to Dan Drezner ignore the core of the matter. They speak as if jobs, in one country or another, are the core of the matter. In fact no one job or position creates industrial-scale wealth on its own. What allows the level of productivity we find in an industrial world is the world-wide industrial networks that exchange goods and services, allowing selection of whatever best suits an individual from the products available.
Yes, people lose jobs, as anyone who has heard of the creative destruction in a market knows. What seems to be the case with so many posters here is that they are certain it should always be "someone else, somewhere else," whose job is destroyed by people going elsewhere for a product. In other words, it's sad when a Chinese never has a job, or an Indian, or a Malay, but my neighbor and I must be immune from the destruction part of creative destruction.
This ignores the point that every attempt to coerce a secure job through government slashes away at the links in world-wide market networks. This then affects
read more . . .
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Gravy wrote on 09/21/2009  at  05:09 PM
Re: Global Trade and Preposterous Pants (Dan Drezner & Reihan Salam)
Why in the world does Reihan think that our political culture is paralyzed? Over the last 12 months the combination of Congress, the administration (2 of them) and the Federal Reserve have asserted federal governmental power in a more comprehensive manner than at any time in our nation's history, with the reasonable exception of the Civil War. Federal governmental power has been used much more than it was during the depression era. The domestic auto industry has been nearly nationalized, hundreds of billions have been committed to choose between winners and losers in the nation's finance schemes, we have been fighting two wars, neither of which has maintained any significant popular support, the mortgage market has been entirely federalized. There may be a sense that the government is not getting the job done (whatever the heck you think "the job" is) but the above public institutions have clearly exercised their authority- and maybe more than their authority - in a huge manner these last months.




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