25 August 2024
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538
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Aug 23, 2024 — Robert Wright & Paul Bloom
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Bob and Paul’s time-warping podcast experiment
Does thinking in bets better your thinking?
Past prediction 1: Will the presidential race tighten up?
J.D. Vance memes of yester-month
Past prediction 2: Who will Kamala pick for VP?
When reality gets weird
Heading to Overtime
Aug 19, 2024 — Robert Wright & Emma Ashford
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Emma’s forthcoming book on US grand strategy
Gaza, Ukraine, and Mearsheimer’s realism
The DC establishment’s dark view of world affairs
How the Gaza war hurts American interests—and America itself
Is the time ripe for realism and restraint?
National problems that require international cooperation
Heading to Overtime
Aug 16, 2024 — Robert Wright & Andrew Day
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Aug 16, 2024 — Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher
The DMZ
Are too many former Democratic presidents speaking at the convention?
Does Kamala Harris need to win the national popular vote by a lot to win the Electoral College?
Does Tim Walz need a better response to attacks on his military service?
Does Donald Trump need a campaign shake up?
Aug 13, 2024 — Robert Wright & Nathan Labenz
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Nathan’s podcast, The Cognitive Revolution
The enduring enigmas of AI
Conceptualizing how LLMs conceptualize
Do AIs actually understand things?
Why AI doesn’t need to be superhuman to be revolutionary
Human vs AI representations of the world
Thinking through high-dimensional AI brain space
Nathan on AI risk: Doomer? Accelerationist? Both?
The open source question and Cold War II
Do LLMs “naturally” learn human values?
Mamba: a new approach to building large language models
Aug 8, 2024 — Robert Wright & Peter Miller
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Peter’s background and (Root)claim to fame
How Peter caught the Covid origins bug
The Wuhan wet market: source or amplifier?
Holes in the lab leak theory
The patient zero problem
A statistical deep dive into the wet market
What the genetic evidence can (and can’t) tell us
Can we “trust the science” on Covid?
Has tribalism made resolving the debate impossible?
Why lab leak matters—even if it didn’t happen
Aug 7, 2024 — Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher
The DMZ
Matt argues Harris should have picked Shapiro
Bill argues Walz has swing appeal
Is the “couch” joke below the belt?
How is Trump going after Walz?
Will there be debates?
Aug 5, 2024 — Robert Wright & Joshua Landis
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Who was Haniyeh—and why’d Israel kill him?
Why Netanyahu may want a US-Iran war
Are pro-Israel groups at peak power?
Israel’s escalating conflict with Hezbollah
The logic of Iranian retaliation
Israel’s lack of a viable endgame in Gaza
Heading to Overtime
Aug 2, 2024 — Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher
The DMZ
How did Kamala Harris consolidate the Democratic Party so quickly?
Is Harris authentic or a phony?
Who will (and should) be Harris’ VP?
What is Trump thinking by attacking Harris’ racial identity?
What did Trump mean by saying “you won’t have to vote anymore”?
Aug 1, 2024 — Robert Wright & Nick Bostrom
Nonzero (The Wright Show)
Nick’s influential book Superintelligence and his new book Deep Utopia
Has Nick flipped on AI doom?
Life in the “solved world” of an AI utopia
Can technology address the deepest problems of human nature?
Meaning, artificial purpose, and the value of golf
The promise and perils of virtual reality
Heading to Overtime
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538
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